Thursday, 12 November 2026

Outlook for Thu 12 Nov

Find the fixtures to come, compare our chances, and see the tips found so far.

Our chances as they stand and the tips found so far, refreshed every morning.

Fixtures: 32
Markets per game: 55
Leagues: 7

Outlook for Thu 12 Novupdated at 15:26 UTC

Our chances as they stand and the tips found so far, refreshed every morning. A tip stays in the record at the price it went out at. The day's board goes out at 06:00 UTC on the day.

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The headline pick per sport is open to everyone; every other market, pick, stake and tier opens with membership. Yesterday and every day before are fully open to all.

See plans

Matches

32 fixturesOutlook

Featured pick

19:45 · UEFA Nations League

Montenegro vs Latvia

Model selection · Match result

Montenegro · 75% model chance

Match details

UEFA Nations League

1 fixture

UEFA Nations League

Europe

Medium market

19:45
Montenegro vs Latvia
Model pick: Tip: Montenegro
75% our chance
19:45
MontenegrovsLatvia
Montenegro, our chance: 75%
Draw, our chance: 18%
Latvia, our chance: 8%
Our pick, a tip: Montenegro75% likely, +2.3% value

Our track record

Last 30 days · Public results

Graded: …
Won: …

The day's top picks

Found so far, each at the price it went out at. More may follow on the day.

Top pick: Montenegro vs Latvia@ 1.37Montenegro · 75% likely · +2.3% value · Tipped Mon, 9 Nov

My plan

Track record

Picks graded: …
Win rate: …

The week ahead

The tips found so far for the days to come. The lines open a few days before a match: the chances are there first, and a tip is added within hours of its lines opening.

How to read this page

Our pick: What we back in a match: the market we make most likely to win, whether it is the result, over/under or a handicap. When it is likely enough and its price is better than it should be, the pick is a tip: it is shown in gold and only tips are graded in the track record. Otherwise it is our call, the likeliest priced outcome, with no stake.
Our chance: How likely we make a result, from each team's strength, form, scoring and the prices on offer. Refreshed every morning, and again after each price update until the match starts.
Bookmakers' chance: What the best price implies once the bookmaker's margin is taken out. It is the small marker on each bar.
Value: How much more a price pays than our fair price for it. A second check, never the reason for a tip: a tip is the likeliest market that is also priced better than it should be. A call may sit at or under our fair price, and says so.
Top pick, strong pick, pick: How likely a tip is: a top pick from 70 %, a strong pick from 65 %, a pick from 60 %.
Stake: In units: one unit is one percent of your bankroll. It grows with how much better the price is than it should be, and it is capped.

Outlook for Thu 12 Nov

All sports

Filters

Matches

Montenegro vs Latvia

UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Our track record